Dr Roberts’ speaks about his use of the innovative 4see modelling framework, which combines socio, economic and energy aspects of a country in order to formulate physically consistent scenarios 20 years or more into the future. He presents his latest research findings relating to transport and oil supply, and puts forward proactive steps the UK could take to reduce its oil dependency.

The 4see methodology draws on analysis of past Gross Domestic Product and other data to identify and explore the impact of various investment choices. A 4see model is data-driven using official statistics, bringing together economic activity, capital stocks, employment, energy, travel and balance of payments. The model is good for taking onboard trends, handling systemic interactions between sectors and identifying "the big stuff that makes a difference".

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Greater use of public transport could reduce oil consumption in the UK. But how can public transport be made attractive enough so that people will choose to leave their cars at home? Could the celebrated Swiss public transport model work in the UK? What would a truly integrated public transport system in the UK look like? Addressing these questions will be transport and planning consultant Tim Pharoah, who in a 40 year career as an academic and campaigner has authored books and articles on urban design, public transport and traffic calming.

APPGOPO Meeting - June 2011

Speaker: Dr Oliver Inderwildi (Oxford University, Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment)

Watch Dr Inderwildi's presentation here

Download ppt here